The DCCC has released a pair of polls of New Jersey’s tight open seat races. Let’s take a look.
NJ-03: Grove Insight for the DCCC (10/2-3, likely voters):
John Adler (D): 38
Chris Myers (R): 34
Undecided: 29
(MoE: ±4.9%)
The polls so far haven’t been very kind to Adler in this D+3 (but ancestrally Republican) South Jersey district. All of the publicly-released polls of this race have given Myers a lead between two and four points, with a large share of the vote undecided. In my gut, I still think that Adler should pull this one out, but it doesn’t look like it’ll be a walk in the park by any means.
NJ-07: Benenson Strategy Group for the DCCC (10/8-9, likely voters):
Linda Stender (D): 40
Leonard Lance (R): 31
Michael Hsing (I): 8
(MoE: ±4.9%)
Hsing is a Republican councilman from Bridgewater running as an Independent, and it seems like his impact on this race won’t be negligible. The polls from this race have been a bit more mixed than the 3rd: Monmouth recently gave Lance a 43-39 edge, while Anzalone Liszt found Stender up by 36-33 (with 9% for Hsing) in August.
SSP currently rates both of these races as Tossups.
Too many undecided’s for me to care. Thanks for wasting your money and my time, DCCC!
Any poll i’ve seen from those two NJ races have large amounts of undecideds. What the hell? Are these candidates that bad that no one can choose on whatever to support the D or the R.
We must take NJ-05. Garrett is wearing out his welcome. That district hasn’t voted for a Democratic congressman since 1978- Andy Maguire’s last victory.